by Handedness, 25th on the Pirates list at the end of 2022, Effectively Wild Episode 1966: Joe West, Young Man, Ben Cherington on Pittsburghs Two Top Prospects. That's nearly 30% of all their picks coming up as noteworthy prospects. His player page shows him above average in UZR/150, OAA and RAA (although only 1 in each of the latter two). As for the top three prospects on all six lists, their average rankings: Termarr Johnson - 28.2 Endy Rodriguez - 38.5 Henry Davis - 52 John Dreker + posts John started working at Pirates. His 2022 was not as remarkable from a walk and strikeout standpoint but it was still good, as he hit .270/.376/.418 with 38 extra-base hits (pretty good for the Florida State League) and 33 steals at Low-A Bradenton. That makes changeup development, or anything that might help him deal with righties, important, and indeed thats already underway Solometo has begun to more heavily incorporate a mid-80s changeup into his pitch mix. Chen began his career with 26 consecutive walk-free innings in the 2021 Florida Complex League, then spent all of 2022 at Bradenton, where he had a solid second pro season, carrying a 3.76 FIP across 98 innings. It had exploded even further when he was seen following the pandemic shutdown, as he sat 95-97 mph and was touching 101 during the 2021 regular season. Dodgers: FanGraphs Lists Four LA Prospects on Top 100 List He doesnt always look comfortable out there, but his speed makes him viable at all three spots, solidifying his role as a heavily-used role player even without the power production. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb. Top 35 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates by Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel November 26, 2018 Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Big league sliders might force Davis to make an adjustment, but so far his contact performance has been solidly average. Some aspects of that optimistic projection still exist, while others have changed or are currently absent, but the tools package here is still on par with the middle of the everyday second baseman player population, and were hoping that young Peguero will polish up his games current smudges. 2023 Updated In-Season Projections FanGraphs Prospects. feels like the more realistic path to an eventual 45-grade role, or above. For now, hes lithe enough for third, where he has a shot to be an everyday player based largely on his power projection. Antwone Kelly, RHP He has the strength to do damage the other way, but save for the occasional pitch on the outer edge, hes geared to pull. FanGraphs Top 43 Pirates prospects : r/buccos - reddit.com Tony Sanchez / C 6. He would slot among Priester and Ortiz on this list had he completed a totally healthy 2022. It should be noted that DeVitos development has been plagued by stops and starts caused first by the pandemic and then by an ulnar nerve issue that shortened his 2021 season. Overall, there is a ton of in-zone swing-and-miss happening here. Format = Team Position Player | Age on 4/1/23 | Highest level played | ETA. Any Top 100 prospects, regardless of their ETA, are also included on this list. Johnson was a well-regarded prospect basically as soon as he reached high school, and there were scouts who were so excited when they first watched him hit that they considered him a future top 5-10 pick when he was only a freshman. A second base-only defensive fit puts the onus on Pegueros bat to perform at an everyday level. Pittsburgh Pirates Top 61 Prospects | FanGraphs Baseball Given how good he is at third, it seems likely that Triolo will be a good defensive second baseman if given enough time, and hes a fine emergency option at short (Kyle Farmer has played there a ton and Triolo is about that good). He pitched for Panamas U18 team in September and showed a good changeup and fair slider as well. A 2022 eighth rounder, Nielsens velocity has been up and down depending on when hes been seen, peaking at 94 in 2022 but at 96 in years prior. His slider has a sweeping horizontal shape, but his inability to locate it has hampered its utility. DSL data is noisy, in part because pitchers there dont yet throw enough strikes or with much velocity compared to more advanced levels of the minors. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every teams list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. He also has a promising sweeper slider, but he lacks typical physical projection for a teenage pitcher. In his time at Bradenton, Chandler struck out 33 batters over 26 innings, and while his walk rate was an unacceptably high 15.8%, thats actually down a notch from what he was allowing over a larger sample on the complex. He ultimately went fourth overall to Pittsburgh, and because hes a relatively advanced hitter with a mature build, theres a good chance the Pirates move Johnson through the minors pretty quickly if he hits the ground running offensively. Top 35 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates | FanGraphs Baseball He threw it 16% of the time (up from 9% the previous season) and induced a 53% whiff rate with this power-action, mid-80s change. He re-emerged in 2022 as a 24-year-old at Triple-A, and had an offensive season commensurate with that of an extra outfield prospect, a lefty stick with more raw power than hed hit for in games, but enough bat to play a bench role provided hes capable of playing center field. He spent two years at a JUCO before heading to South Alabama in 2020, and he only pitched 21 total innings for the Jaguars due to the timing of his transfer. He and Solometo have the same flavor of stuff wrapped in different packages. So the question is, was there actual improvement in his ability or is this just noise in the signal? Perhaps as an adjustment to deal with this issue, Priester now mixes in plenty of fastballs for which he pronates on release, giving the pitch screwball-like spin. Given their respective shapes, its easy to see how those pitches play off of one another, and they were the reason Burrows presented a traditional relief look prior to his changeups development. He also mixes in the occasional changeup or curveball, which accounted for a combined 11% of his offerings at Low-A. Pirates Draft Prospect Watch: Big Weekend for LSU's Dylan Crews Solometo certainly has superficial frame-based projection, but his athleticism and explosiveness are comfortably below whats typical of someone who finds more and more velocity deep into their 20s. He was passed over in the 2022 Rule 5 Draft despite his stuff quality because hes so raw as a strike-thrower. From the left side of the plate, Rodriguez has an exceptional ability to rip his hands through pitches on the inner edge of the zone. Its bat-missing capabilities are limited to the bottom arm-side portion of the zone, where this two-seam-ish fastball tends to finish. He throws precise, high-quality strikes with the heater, and the pitch has enough tailing action to have stayed off of A-ball barrels. Solometo was a very high-profile amateur pitcher, drafted in the second round but given a bonus commensurate with the 24th overall pick ($2.8 million) as one of several exciting high schoolers who Pittsburgh landed with the pool space freed up by Henry Davis under slot agreement. Bins is athletic for a catcher and has a good arm, but his receiving and contact skills are both 30s. Whats more, theres a chance Triolo hits enough to simply be an everyday option at second (or if he turns out to be okay in center). Baseball America Releases Their List of the Top 30 Pirates Prospects After the season, he again played winter ball, this time in Puerto Rico with Carolina, where Cheng struggled. His finishing pitch, though, is his slider, a nasty upper-80s sweeper that generated a 50% whiff rate and 38% chase rate in 2022. Enmanuel Terrero, OF This is the third year were delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which youll see in the position column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. You can see the power and athleticism in Davis lower half throughout other aspects of his game, and its an indication that he has the ability to polish this stuff up and control the running game. He hit his stride in mid-August with back-to-back scoreless starts in which his four-seamer averaged over 96 across a combined nine innings a high water mark for the season and a true glimpse of his upside. He has above-average bat-to-ball skills and very little power. A proactive bullpen move could put him in position to debut in 2024. Hell also show you a 92-96 mph fastball that plays down a bit due to its shape and Jimenezs lack of command, which caused him to walk 5.8 per 9 IP in 2022. brewers top prospects fangraphs He has become meaningfully stronger over the last year and has more of a balanced, low-ball swing now, as opposed to the slash-and-dash style of contact in his pro debut. Hernandez, also 19, sat 93-96 in 2022 and has a good-looking two-planed slider, but a relief-only delivery and a mature build. Hes a young, switch-hitting catcher with cartoonish offensive numbers (especially from a bat-to-ball standpoint) and uncommon defensive versatility, as hes played a bunch of second base and left field as well. Thomas 2022 was a tale of two seasons. He moved into a minor league relief role in 2022. There were some signs of offensive progress in 2022. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as our own observations. Hes still the contact-first, chop-and-spray hitter hes always been, an approach to hitting enabled and bolstered by his speed, which allows him to beat out infield singles. 2 prospect to Minors camp after injury February 24, 2023 Bucs invite top prospects Davis, Johnson, Priester to camp February 2, 2023 Shim realizes first part of dream as prospect signs with Bucs January 26, 2023 Overall, the Pirates adding six prospects to their top 50 list is pretty impressive. ), and some of the recent, perhaps overzealous examples (Maikel Escotto, Rodolfo Nolasco) are in this system. Hes an arm strength reclamation project with a shot to pitch in Pittsburghs bullpen. Nicolas has consistent glove-side command of his entire repertoire, and he tends to live on that half of the plate exclusively. In 2022, it garnered just 8% whiffs and 13% chase during his time at Double-A, where he spent most of the season. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. If you split his season exactly in half, the improvement is obvious. Out over the plate, he has a tendency to stay inside fastballs and lift them toward the opposite field gap. He still has a pretty exciting hit/power combination for a player his age, showing a proclivity for big contact to dead center and the opposite-field gap, the latter in part due to his length, which causes him to be late. We added RosterResource's Depth Charts; these reflect a team's current. Hayden Wesneski is a 25-year-old starting pitcher in the Chicago Cubs system. Cristofer Melendez, RHP Spending all season at Triple-A, he put up decent numbers, striking out roughly a quarter of opposing batters and allowing just four homers all season. In the past, Ortizs high-effort delivery and sub-optimal fastball shape put him on the starter/reliever line, but hes thrown plenty of strikes across multiple seasons while simultaneously developing more velocity and comfortably projects as a starting pitcher now. That puts pressure on his plate discipline to improve, since right now Lopez is a little too proactive at the plate and might be exposed at the upper levels. A draft-eligible sophomore in 2022, Harrington is an athletic, pitchability righty with a tailing low-90s fastball and a power-sink changeup in the mid-80s. He clearly wasnt comfortable in center field during his brief time there last season, but he only played there once every couple of weeks and he isnt a firm no at the position, even if he is bad there right now. Hes now 23 but could still be a fifth outfielder. After pitching well at the U-18 World Championships and at a Nike showcase in Asia, he signed for about $1.25 million, which is pretty sizable for a late-market signee. Robert_roberts82 1 min. More glove-side fastballs might help him set up his sweeping slider more effectively, as that pitch has good-looking movement but wasnt a dominant offering in college. Across his 94.1 innings, he racked up 111 strikeouts against just 31 walks, with a 1.21 WHIP. He stayed healthy throughout 2022, throwing 70.1 innings, and was more effective out of the bullpen than in his late-season starts. Drew Maggi looks to make Majors with Pirates - mlb.com Pittsburgh Pirates Prospects: Updated FanGraph Rankings Currently, Kennedys best attribute is multi-faceted fastball utility. A double-plus hit tool leads the way for Termarr Johnson, a 5'7" 175 lb left-handed hitter who calls Jose Ramirez to mind on a quick visual evaluation. His size creates some stiffness and imbalance during his swing, which can lead to him putting suboptimal contact in play. Instead, Triolo looks like hell be a superutility guy. While it may seem like a lot of time has passed since he put his name on the prospect map with his otherworldly 2018 DSL performance, Nunez is still very young; hell turn 22 during spring training, where hes a non-roster invitee. It shows above-average arm-side action on occasion, but hes only throwing it 12% of the time. If his defense continues to look like it did in the 2022-23 Dominican Winter League during 2023 spring training, he may quickly be repositioned on this list. Pittsburgh Pirates Stats | FanGraphs Baseball Fangraphs' Top 42 Pirates Prospects His fastball velocity is down, in the 92-94 mph range, a far cry from Priesters upper-90s peak. Top 51 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates | FanGraphs Baseball On Friday, FanGraphs released updated rankings. Jesus Castillo, SS Pittsburgh Pirates 2021 Top 50 Prospects January 1, 2021 Kyle Brown General, MiLB, NL Central, Pirates, Top 50 Lists 2 Graphic design by John Stewart, @jonance on Twitter The Pirates had a woeful time in 2020 once the season got going. Bolton was able to stay healthy for the entirety of 2022, which was an accomplishment in itself given that his professional career has been plagued by injury since it began. Poised to compete for a rotation spot when 2023 camp breaks, Ortiz is one of a few high-upside Pirates youngsters who look like theyd fit in a contenders rotation. (2/2/2021) Jimenez has a very good sweeping, upper-70s curveball and creates plus action on a changeup that he sells with fantastic arm speed. They have Hunter. His overall pitch recognition, especially against breaking balls, has become a more noticeable issue. His two-plane slider has nasty, late break and his changeup might have late projection because his arm action is so clean and loose. The Pirates have three of those 38 players, with Termarr Johnson ranked 21st, Endy Rodriguez 22nd and Henry Davis 38th. Here hes projected as a no. While he was already throwing quite hard, Ortiz came into even more velocity in 2022 and averaged 97 mph on his fastball, up two ticks from 2021. Aspects of the offensive profile that made him exciting in the first place are still here, led by Pegueros compact but authoritative swing, which is especially good at punishing pitches at the very top of the strike zone. His maxed-out frame is cumbersome on the infield, but his footwork at first base has improved a ton since he started playing there, and weve updated our previous DH-only projection. Top Prospects. Andrew McCutchen / OF 3. Hes already taken a sizable step in the breaking ball department in just two pros seasons. He has the stuff to continue developing as a starter just in case things click, but the bullpen is Jimenezs more likely future destination. The Pirates claimed him off waivers and quickly lost him to the Diamondbacks in the minor league phase of the 2022 Rule 5 draft. This is one of those prospects fantasy players should value more highly than this because of his potential home run output, whereas defensive limitations cause us to value his real-world roster fit in this range. His on-mound athleticism enables plus long-term command projection, though for right now Harrington really only locates his fastball to his arm side. Hudson Head, CF He also threw a smattering of changeups in 2022, though it amounted to fewer than a dozen across his 50.2 innings of work at Double-A, and the changeup didnt show up at all when the Bahamian took the mound for Great Britains WBC squad. None of his other pitches are above average in fact most of them are currently below average but Chen has plus command projection and a plus changeup, so hes pretty likely to pitch at the back of a big league rotation or as an innings-eating spot starter. Even if sliders are a chronic issue for Davis, hell likely still get to enough power to produce better than the average everyday catcher. His breaking ball is now a mid-80s power breaker thats up to 88-89 at peak and generates plus chase and whiff rates. Brennan Malone, RHP. Plaz had a cartoonish line in the DSL (he slugged over .700), but hes very burly and physically mature for a 17-year-old, so wed like to see him do it stateside. FanGraphs released their top 100 prospect rankings on Wednesday. Prospect Report: Diamondbacks 2023 Imminent Big Leaguers Its going to be fascinating to watch him develop, and if it doesnt work, hell probably still be a viable reliever. Juan Jerez, 3B Prospects Coverage | FanGraphs Baseball In addition to sending Bradley back to Boston, the Milwaukee Brewers are also sending two of their top-30 prospects. Lolo Sanchez, CF His carrying tool is still his defense, especially his receiving, which is crafty and advanced. It comes out of his hand from a high arm slot that looks like the kind optimized for data-friendly ride, but the pitchs downhill angle makes it less of a weapon at the letters and actually makes it very vulnerable within the strike zone. Andres Silvera, RHP. Thats something to watch as Jones continues to progress through the minors. Aside from the persistent Bryan Reynolds trade rumors, the general industry sentiment is that the team is shifting from prospect collection mode and into a phase where those players start to arrive. 11/ . He has a wide arsenal, including a changeup and a two-seamer, but tends to rely more heavily on pairing his riding fastball and curveball to keep hitters off balance. On defense, Rodriguezs size is both a feature and a bug. He absolutely towers over his father, who was twice a Baseball America Top 100 prospect but spent most of his pro career in Japan. From 2017-21, Webbs strikeout rate more than doubled as a result of his uptick in arm strength. Youll occasionally see a low-90s changeup from Hernandez as well, but hes a relief prospect all the way and likely to stick in Pittsburghs bullpen despite below-average command. RotoWire News: Gonzales will join the Pirates' major-league camp this spring. Quants and front office analyst types are more bearish, citing issues with Priesters fastball playability. Cederlind, 27, spent 2022 recovering from Tommy John, and he had renewed soreness during his rehab, which is part of why he missed the whole year. His four-seamer was around the same velo as it had been at the alt site, sitting comfortably at 93 mph and maxing out at 95. Acquired in a. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Could Solometo eventually throw harder? Luigi Hernandez, RHP. }); Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category. Even though he was sitting 96-98 in Arizona, Webbs fastball doesnt play like an upper-90s pitch right now, and his mid-80s breaking ball quality is highly variable (lots of 30s, some 50s). as compiled by Ben Clemens and the FanGraphs staff. Swaggerty matched the nine home runs he posted in 2019, but this time, he did so against better pitching, in fewer at-bats, and in a much less hitter-friendly park, and he improved on his walk rate by a couple of ticks. The Pirates are going to develop him at many different positions with the hope that he can provide a late-game upgrade at a couple different spots (hes already very good at third base), serve as righty power off the bench, and work in middle relief. Hes on the 40-man roster and will likely get a chance to sink or swim on the big league roster in 2023. RotoGraphs. Pegueros pull-heavy style of contact leaves him vulnerable to breaking balls on the outer half, even ones that catch a lot of the plate. A two-way high school prospect, Flowers was primarily a center fielder at Florida State but transitioned to the mound full-time in pro ball. He has basically been the same guy since he entered pro ball, sitting 94-95 with ineffectual shape and a pretty good slider. Gonzales had a 68% Z-contact% as a 23-year-old at Double-A. His changeup is deceptive against batters in both boxes, but in particular against righties, who have a 40% chase rate on the offering. Readers should note that taking an aggressive line with players like this has yielded predictably mixed results in the past (so far, so good: Kevin Alcantara, Marco Luciano, Alexander Canario, Jordy Vargas, etc. Axiel Plaz, C His slider lacks nasty, biting movement, but his arm slot makes it tough on lefty hitters, and his command of it gives it back-foot utility against righties. The component parts of a scouting, tools-oriented look De Los Santos frame, bat speed, and infield actions put him in that range, while the DSL data reinforces it somewhat. He maintained his patient approach in Altoona, and when the Double-A season ended, he was sent up to Indianapolis for the last five games of the Triple-A season. Thats hard enough to do for any batter, let alone one whose schedule also includes the grueling demands of pitching development. (One weird scouting note: Peguero chokes up with two strikes, but only with his top hand, creating separation between his two hands la Kevin Youkilis.) If he does end up having relevant chase issues, he might track like a left-handed hitting Brendan Rodgers, but Johnsons makeup and personality are so universally lauded that its fair to expect him to make relevant adjustments and become a key cog on Pittsburghs next competitive team. Last year, Fraizers 2021 performance at Greensboro (which included 20 homers) convinced us that he had a chance to be a big deal, but his plate discipline was a big problem against Double-A pitching. A few months later, the Pirates emerged as the word-of-mouth favorite to sign him; he inked a deal for $750,000 in January. De Los Santos contact metrics are a hair south of average, and thats the biggest indicator that theres real risk here, but boy, there is also real ceiling. He was throwing as hard as ever when he returned but still got shelled, and was quite wild at Double-A before he was sent to Arizona to audition to keep his 40-man spot with Kansas City. It sounds like Brannigan is going to develop as a two-way player. Silvera, 18, is a physically mature righty who missed a ton of DSL bats even though he only sits 88-90. But given his age and the amount of runway still afforded to him, this was seen as a speed bump for his development rather than being of great concern at the time. Ideally, Nicolas can develop an offering that has some arm-side movement, one better than his current changeup that can prevent hitters from sitting on those glove-side locations. Pirates Reds: NL West. This impressive performance inspired his offseason 40-man addition. After spending most of the year at Triple-A, where he hit .289/.362/.430, Bae spent the last couple weeks of the 2022 season as an everyday member of the big league club, where he seems likely to stick throughout the coming season as a lefty-hitting 2B/OF. Like his other stuff, his feel for location is better than the movement hes creating on the pitch. Theres still some prospect clout here because of Nolascos power and long-haul physicality, but at this stage, he should be considered more of power-driven flier than a likely big leaguer. 2023 600 PA / 200 IP Projections Steamer600. His fastball remains in the mid-90s but continues to underperform in terms of its bat-missing ability due to its hittable line. in the minor league phase of the 2022 Rule 5 Draft. For the second straight year, he allowed a high rate of home runs, which inflated his ERA. Sanchez runs pretty well. Sammy Siani, LF. Nunez started 2022 at St. Louis Double-A affiliate before being dealt to Pittsburgh as part of the Jos Quintana deal at the trade deadline. Davis skills and offensive style are tailored like those of Evan Gattis. Climbing the minor league ladder often comes with offensive slumps, many of which are cured as hitters accrue at-bats at the more advanced level. FanGraphs Baseball | Baseball Statistics and Analysis His mother spent her childhood in London, while his father "a real Brit; he still has an . Nicolas spent most of his college career in the bullpen, but hes held up well as a starter in pro ball, developing two distinct breaking balls that hes using much more than he did at Ball State. Davis plate crowding helps enable his pull-heavy approach. The Pirates got a deal done for a cool million, nearly twice the slot amount in the fourth round. The husky Nunez swings really hard and generates big peak exit velocities. Mason Martin, 1B Every once in a while he will show you the power, and hes very good at hitting pitches out away from him to the opposite field with authority, but you can get him out if you can execute location against Gonzales, and big league pitchers often do.

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